Rmb Company: kasuwanni jiran aiki daga bankunan tsakiya

A cewar RMB Company, ya ruwaito cikin manyan kudin nau'i-nau'i a cikin past rana ya canza ba yawa - da kasuwanni a fili ci gaba da zuwa nike sakamakon na EU taron da aka gudanar a ranar 28-29 Yuni, kuma m girma na m dukiya a ranar Jumma'a. A daidai wannan lokaci, ba shakka, da yawa ya zaɓi ya dauki samu daga Jumma'a ta riba girma. Zance EUR / USD rage ta 0.2% zuwa matakin na 1.2600, laba, mataimakin versa, "potyazhelel" 0.3% a kan m data a kan samar index PMI, wanda darajar aka 48.6 a watan Yuni 46, da tsammanin, 5 da suka gabata darajar 45,9.

Turai hannun jari ADX30, CAC40 da FTSE100 tashi 1,24%, 1.36% da 1.25%, yayin da su American "abokan aiki" nuna wani yawa muni sakamakon - S & P500 index tashi 0.25% a cikin yayin da Dow Jones fadi da 0,07%. A cewar RMB Company, dalilin irin wannan karfi da kuzarin kawo cikas da cewa masu zuba jari ne mafi shirye saya Turai dukiya a kan tsammanin cewa ECB zai runtse Alhamis refinancing kudi to 0.75%. A lokaci guda bayar jiya muhimmancin ism index of harkokin kasuwanci a Amurka masana'antu kansu a watan Yuni da aka sani kawai 49.7 a kan sa ran 52.0 (previous darajar - 53.5), wanda iyakance hatsari ga ci gaban -OUT dukiya, da kuma, fiye da dukan, Amurka kasuwar jari.

Yau data a kan gine-gine a Australia a watan Mayu ninka wuce manazarta 'kintace - wata karuwa da 27.3% m / m da tsammanin na 5.0% m / m (a cikin Afrilu rajista raguwar 7.6% m / m a kan kayyade data ). 3 hours bayan buga data "Aussie" kara game da 25 maki, amma bayan buga na yanke shawara a kan kudi na Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ya koma raguwa. A RBA bar ta key sha'awa kudi canzawa a 3,50% matsayin sa ran, duk 28 surveyed da Bloomberg manazarta. A comments zuwa Bank ta yanke shawara lura cewa, "data nuna a tabarbarewar halin da ake ciki a kasashen Turai da kuma China," "dakushe farashin kayayyakin masarufi taimaka wajen rage hauhawar farashin kaya," da kuma "tattalin arziki na duniya na gaba shi ne mafi muni fiye da 'yan watanni da suka wuce." Irin wannan comments goyi bayan ra'ayin cewa RBA iya rage cikin kudi a wajen taron a watan Agusta, jiran tallafi na ƙarin kara kuzari matakan da Turai Babban Bankin na bankin al'ummar kasar Sin (t. E. The RBA ba so "gudu gaba da engine").

Subject to karfafa manufofin daga cikin manyan bankunan tsakiya a lokacin ne hukunci ga kasuwa mahalarta. A mayar da hankali ne Alhamis, Yuli 5, lokacin da kudi yanke shawara za a dauka da ECB. Cikin dukanin Turai rikicin, ECB Ya sanya ƙarin kara kuzari matakan (ko karu a cikin kudi na dogon lokaci refinancing ayyukan (da LTRO)) bi kankare matakan da Turai 'yan siyasa don taimako na da rikicin matakai (halittar taimakon kudi, da sauransu. D.). Masana sun ba sa ran wani togiya wannan lokaci, tsinkaya a dakushe asali amfani rates a cikin taro kan 5 Yuli. Rahoton on rashin aikin yi a Amurka a ranar Jumma'a a game da mummunan lambobi, shi ne ma iya karfafa hasashe game da kara taimako daga Fed.

Yau, na da muhimmanci macroeconomic data shi ne ya kamata a lura da gina kansu PMI index of Great Britain, wanda zai iya sake goyi bayan Birtaniya kudin quotes.